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Principle of Regression

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Jamaica Now
Mar 27, 2024
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A sleek, modern house with a gleaming metal roof and large windows stands in stark contrast to its surroundings, nestled among 100 dilapidated, pastel-colored ghetto homes with rusted corrugated iron roofs and crumbling facades, set against the vibrant, sun-kissed backdrop of a Jamaican neighborhood.

The Principle of Regression in Jamaican real estate refers to the tendency for high-value properties to lose potential value or appreciate more slowly when situated near lower-value or poorly maintained properties. Historically, this principle has shaped property values across Jamaica, particularly in areas with mixed property conditions and varied infrastructure. In the colonial period and early years of independence, affluent estates were typically concentrated in well-kept areas, especially in parts of Kingston. However, urban expansion and economic shifts eventually diversified property values within neighborhoods, as development and maintenance patterns became inconsistent.

For many years, areas like downtown Kingston exemplified the effects of regression. Once known for its thriving commercial and residential spaces, the area experienced a long period of decline, with many properties falling into disrepair and deterring investment. As a result, well-maintained properties in downt…

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