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Jamaica Now

Storm Shock Exposes Jamaica’s Fragile Economic Base

A hurricane-driven contraction reveals how closely Jamaica’s economy, housing, and development remain tied to physical vulnerability.

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Jamaica Now
Apr 03, 2026
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Photo by Tom Barrett on Unsplash
  • A single storm erased a quarter’s worth of growth, exposing how quickly Jamaica’s economic momentum can be undone.

  • The economy contracted 7.1% in the final quarter of 2025, reversing earlier gains and revealing the scale of disruption caused by Hurricane Melissa.

  • Agriculture, mining, construction, and tourism all declined, pointing to a broad, system-wide shock rather than an isolated downturn.

  • The damage was not theoretical, it was physical, affecting land, homes, infrastructure, and the ability to build and rebuild.

  • Despite the contraction, full-year growth remained marginally positive, suggesting resilience, but not necessarily strength.

  • The deeper question now is not whether Jamaica can recover, but how often it can afford to.

Jamaica’s economy contracted by 7.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025, a sharp reversal driven largely by the effects of Hurricane Melissa, underscoring how quickly national growth can be undone and raising deeper questions about the c…

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